Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 3.675317 4.398772 5.206450 6.171960 7.291542 8.545600 10.053177
2025-05-25 2.526353 3.415430 4.514300 5.960039 7.798235 10.042346 12.972334
2025-06-01 1.907707 2.860150 4.141879 5.965511 8.460965 11.719161 16.250574
2025-06-08 1.508473 2.476935 3.880060 6.013859 9.118308 13.401044 19.668827
2025-06-15 1.207697 2.155500 3.623636 5.992610 9.629190 14.889939 22.930472
2025-06-22 0.929489 1.800740 3.240908 5.700283 9.671370 15.675191 25.224706
2025-06-29 0.764840 1.595957 3.052066 5.666130 10.076694 17.002655 28.398936
2025-07-06 0.634903 1.422730 2.881430 5.625774 10.448490 18.289268 31.594171
2025-07-13 0.581230 1.383030 2.937603 5.977421 11.499496 20.732527 36.791084
2025-07-20 0.515905 1.304778 2.906912 6.162504 12.273167 22.774350 41.481396
2025-07-27 0.471976 1.262582 2.937637 6.461603 13.272358 25.265004 47.085256
2025-08-03 0.407527 1.159247 2.826732 6.467983 13.727974 26.844573 51.245279
2025-08-10 0.332558 1.014737 2.608554 6.236988 13.725084 27.641119 54.163253
2025-08-17 0.266528 0.875219 2.375810 5.940703 13.558816 28.123288 56.559141
2025-08-24 0.228397 0.800212 2.277566 5.918737 13.935368 29.634449 60.915252
2025-08-31 0.199247 0.742842 2.211212 5.957517 14.437976 31.418701 65.892318
2025-09-07 0.171489 0.681626 2.123631 5.933360 14.800713 32.953174 70.494434
2025-09-14 0.137585 0.589685 1.937002 5.642595 14.545876 33.234470 72.699681
2025-09-21 0.118313 0.541080 1.858959 5.608416 14.859114 34.684648 77.277528
2025-09-28 0.101691 0.496415 1.783185 5.568313 15.152152 36.110392 81.892116
2025-10-05 0.097826 0.499701 1.850796 5.916771 16.394396 39.621643 90.930900
2025-10-12 0.089873 0.484042 1.857406 6.100192 17.255614 42.372236 98.564313
2025-10-19 0.085178 0.480714 1.902610 6.396632 18.419940 45.854718 107.905564